[Objective] The dynamic prediction of carbon emission from cold chain distribution is an important basis for the accurate assessment of carbon emission and its green credit grade. Facing the fact that the carbon emission of vehicles is affected by multiple factors, such as road condition information, driving characteristics, refrigeration parameters, etc., a dynamic prediction model of carbon emission was proposed from refrigerated vehicles that integrates multi-source information. [Methods] The backbone feature extraction network, neck feature fusion network and loss function of YOLOv8s was firstly improved. The full-dimensional dynamic convolution was introduced into the backbone feature extraction network, and the multidimensional attention mechanism was introduced to capture the contextual key information to improve the model feature extraction capability. A progressive feature pyramid network was introduced into the feature extraction network, which reduced the loss of key information by fusing features layer by layer and improved the feature fusion efficiency. The road condition information recognition model based on improved YOLOv8s was constructed to characterize the road condition information in terms of the number of road vehicles and the percentage of pixel area. Pearson's correlation coefficient was used to compare and analyze the correlation between carbon emissions of refrigerated vehicles and different influencing factors, and to verify the necessity and criticality of the selection of input parameters of the carbon emission prediction model. Then the iTransformer temporal prediction model was improved, and the external attention mechanism was introduced to enhance the feature extraction ability of iTransformer model and reduce the computational complexity. The dynamic prediction model of carbon emission of refrigerated vehicles based on the improved iTransformer was constructed by taking the road condition information, driving characteristics (speed, acceleration), cargo weight, and refrigeration parameters (temperature, power) as inputs. Finally, the model was compared and analyzed with other models to verify the robustness of the road condition information and the prediction accuracy of the vehicle carbon emission dynamic prediction model, respectively. [Results and Discussions] The results of correlation analysis showed that the vehicle driving parameters were the main factor affecting the intensity of vehicle carbon emissions, with a correlation of 0.841. The second factor was cargo weight, with a correlation of 0.807, which had a strong positive correlation. Compared with the vehicle refrigeration parameters, the road condition information had a stronger correlation between vehicle carbon emissions, the correlation between refrigeration parameters and the vehicle carbon emissions impact factor were above 0.67. In order to further ensure the accuracy of the vehicle carbon emissions prediction model, The paper was selected as the input parameters for the carbon emissions prediction model. The improved YOLOv8s road information recognition model achieved 98.1%, 95.5%, and 98.4% in precision, recall, and average recognition accuracy, which were 1.2%, 3.7%, and 0.2% higher than YOLOv8s, respectively, with the number of parameters and the amount of computation being reduced by 12.5% and 31.4%, and the speed of detection being increased by 5.4%. This was due to the cross-dimensional feature learning through full-dimensional dynamic convolution, which fully captured the key information and improved the feature extraction capability of the model, and through the progressive feature pyramid network after fusing the information between different classes through gradual step-by-step fusion, which fully retained the important feature information and improved the recognition accuracy of the model. The predictive performance of the improved iTransformer carbon emission prediction model was better than other time series prediction models, and its prediction curve was closest to the real carbon emission curve with the best fitting effect. The introduction of the external attention mechanism significantly improved the prediction accuracy, and its MSE, MAE, RMSE and R2 were 0.026 1 %VOL, 0.079 1 %VOL, 0.161 5 %VOL and 0.940 0, respectively, which were 0.4%, 15.3%, 8.7% and 1.3% lower, respectively, when compared with iTransformer. As the degree of road congestion increased, the prediction accuracy of the constructed carbon emission prediction model increased. [Conclusions] The carbon emission prediction model for cold chain distribution under multi-source information fusion proposed in this study can realize accurate prediction of carbon emission from refrigerated vehicles, provide theoretical basis for rationally formulating carbon emission reduction strategies and promoting the development of low-carbon cold chain distribution.
[Objective] Rice plays a crucial role in daily diet. The rice industry involves numerous links, from paddy planting to the consumer's table, and the integrity of the quality control data chain directly affects the credibility of rice quality control and traceability information. The process of rice traceability also faces security issues, such as the leakage of privacy information, which need immediate solutions. Additionally, the previous practice of uploading all information onto the blockchain leads to high storage costs and low system efficiency. To address these problems, this study proposed a differential privacy-enhanced blockchain-based quality control model for rice, providing new ideas and solutions to optimize the traditional quality regulation and traceability system. [Methods] By exploring technologies of blockchain, interplanetary file system (IPFS), and incorporating differential privacy techniques, a blockchain-based quality control model for rice with differential privacy enhancement was constructed. Firstly, the data transmission process was designed to cover the whole industry chain of rice, including cultivation, acquisition, processing, warehousing, and sales. Each module stored the relevant data and a unique number from the previous link, forming a reliable information chain and ensuring the continuity of the data chain for quality control. Secondly, to address the issue of large data volume and low efficiency of blockchain storage, the key quality control data of each link in the rice industry chain was stored in the IPFS. Subsequently, the hash value of the stored data was returned and recorded on the blockchain. Lastly, to enhance the traceability of the quality control model information, the sensitive information in the key quality control data related to the cultivation process was presented to users after undergoing differential privacy processing. Individual data was obfuscated to increase the credibility of the quality control information while also protecting the privacy of farmers' cultivation practices. Based on this model, a differential privacy-enhanced blockchain-based quality control system for rice was designed. [Results and Discussions] The architecture of the differential privacy-enhanced blockchain-based quality control system for rice consisted of the physical layer, transport layer, storage layer, service layer, and application layer. The physical layer included sensor devices and network infrastructure, ensuring data collection from all links of the industry chain. The transport layer handled data transmission and communication, securely uploading collected data to the cloud. The storage layer utilized a combination of traditional databases, IPFS, and blockchain to efficiently store and manage key data on and off the blockchain. The traditional database was used for the management and querying of structured data. IPFS stored the key quality control data in the whole industry chain, while blockchain was employed to store the hash values returned by IPFS. This integrated storage method improved system efficiency, ensured the continuity, reliability, and traceability of quality control data, and provided consumers with reliable information. The service layer was primarily responsible for handling business logic and providing functional services. The implementation of functions in the application layer relied heavily on the design of a series of interfaces within the service layer. Positioned at the top of the system architecture, the application layer was responsible for providing user-centric functionality and interfaces. This encompassed a range of applications such as web applications and mobile applications, aiming to present data and facilitate interactive features to fulfill the requirements of both consumers and businesses. Based on the conducted tests, the average time required for storing data in a single link of the whole industry chain within the system was 1.125 s. The average time consumed for information traceability query was recorded as 0.691 s. Compared to conventional rice quality regulation and traceability systems, the proposed system demonstrated a reduction of 6.64% in the storage time of single-link data and a decrease of 16.44% in the time required to perform information traceability query. [Conclusions] This study proposes a differential privacy-enhanced blockchain-based quality control model for rice. The model ensures the continuity of the quality control data chain by integrating the various links of the whole industry chain of rice. By combining blockchain with IPFS storage, the model addresses the challenges of large data volume and low efficiency of blockchain storage in traditional systems. Furthermore, the model incorporates differential privacy protection to enhance traceability while safeguarding the privacy of individual farmers. This study can provide reference for the design and improvement of rice quality regulation and traceability systems.
[Objective] In the retail market for agricultural products, consumers are increasingly concerned about the safety and health aspects of those products. Traceability of blockchain has emerged as a crucial solution to address these concerns. Essentially, a blockchain functions as a dynamic, distributed, and shared database. When implemented in the agricultural supply chain, it not only improves product transparency to attract more consumers but also raises concerns about consumer privacy disclosure. The level of consumer apprehension regarding privacy will directly influence their choice to purchase agricultural products traced through blockchain-traced. Moreover, retailers' choices to sell blockchain-traced produce are influenced by consumer privacy concerns. By analyzing the impact of blockchain technology on the competitive strategies, pricing, and decision-making among agricultural retailers, they can develop market competition strategies that suit their market conditions to bolster their competitiveness and optimize the agricultural supply chain to maximize overall benefits. [Methods] Based on Nash equilibrium and Stackelberg game theory, a market competition model was developed to analyze the interactions between existing and new agricultural product retailers. The competitive strategies adopted by agricultural product retailers were analyzed under four different options of whether two agricultural retailers sell blockchain agricultural products. It delved into product utility, optimal pricing, demand, and profitability for each retailer under these different scenarios. How consumer privacy concerns impact pricing and profits of two agricultural product retailers and the optimal response strategy choice of another retailer when the competitor made the decision choice first were also analyzed. This analysis aimed to guide agricultural product retailers in making strategic choices that would safeguard their profits and market positions. To address the cooperative game problem of agricultural product retailers in market competition, ensure that retailers could better cooperate in the game, blockchain smart contract technology was used. By encoding the process and outcomes of the Stackelberg game into smart contracts, retailers could input their specific variables and receive tailored strategy recommendations. Uploading game results onto the blockchain network ensured transparency and encouraged cooperative behavior among retailers. By using the characteristics of blockchain, the game results were uploaded to the blockchain network to regulate the cooperative behavior, to ensure the maximization of the overall interests of the supply chain. [Results and Discussions] The research highlighted the significant improvement in agricultural product quality transparency through blockchain traceability technology. However, concerns regarding consumer privacy arising from this traceability could directly impact the pricing, profitability and retailers' decisions to provide blockchain-traceable items. Furthermore, an analysis of the strategic balance between two agricultural product retailers revealed that in situations of low and high product information transparency, both retailers were inclined to simultaneously offer sell traceable products. In such a scenario, blockchain traceability technology enhanced the utility and profitability of retail agricultural products, leading consumers to prefer purchase these traceable products from retailers. In cases where privacy concerns and agricultural product information transparency were both moderate, the initial retailer was more likely to opt for blockchain-based traceable products. This was because consumers had higher trust in the initial retailer, enabling them to bear a higher cost associated with privacy concerns. Conversely, new retailers failed to gain a competitive advantage and eventually exit the market. When consumer privacy concerns exceeded a certain threshold, both competing agricultural retailers discovered that offering blockchain-based traceable products led to a decline in their profits. [Conclusions] When it comes to agricultural product quality and safety, incorporating blockchain technology in traceability significantly improves the transparency of quality-related information for agricultural products. However, it is important to recognize that the application of blockchain for agricultural product traceability is not universally suitable for all agricultural retailers. Retailers must evaluate their unique circumstances and make the most suitable decisions to enhance the effectiveness of agricultural products, drive sales demand, and increase profits. Within the competitive landscape of the agricultural product retail market, nurturing a positive collaborative relationship is essential to maximize mutual benefits and optimize the overall profitability of the agricultural product supply chain.
[Objective] Camellia oleifera is one of the four major woody oil plants in the world. Diseases is a significant factor leading to the decline in quality of Camellia oleifera and the financial loss of farmers. Among these diseases, anthracnose is a common and severe disease in Camellia oleifera forests, directly impacting yields and production rates. Accurate disease assessment can improve the prevention and control efficiency and safeguarding the farmers' profit. In this study, an improved You Only Look at CoefficienTs (YOLACT) based method was proposed to realize automatic and efficient grading of the severity of Camellia oleifera leaf anthracnose. [Methods] High-resolution images of Camellia oleifera anthracnose leaves were collected using a smartphone at the National Camellia oleifera Seed Base of Jiangxi Academy of Forestry, and finally 975 valid images were retained after a rigorous screening process. Five data enhancement means were applied, and a data set of 5 850 images was constructed finally, which was divided into training, validation, and test sets in a ratio of 7:2:1. For model selection, the Camellia-YOLACT model was proposed based on the YOLACT instance segmentation model, and by introducing improvements such as Swin-Transformer, weighted bi-directional feature pyramid network, and HardSwish activation function. The Swin Transformer was utilized for feature extraction in the backbone network part of YOLACT, leveraging the global receptive field and shift window properties of the self-attention mechanism in the Transformer architecture to enhance feature extraction capabilities. Additionally, a weighted bidirectional feature pyramid network was introduced to fuse feature information from different scales to improve the detection ability of the model for objects at different scales, thereby improving the detection accuracy. Furthermore, to increase the the model's robustness against the noise in the input data, the HardSwish activation function with stronger nonlinear capability was adopted to replace the ReLu activation function of the original model. Since images in natural environments usually have complex background and foreground information, the robustness of HardSwish helped the model better handling these situations and further improving the detection accuracy. With the above improvements, the Camellia-YOLACT model was constructed and experimentally validated by testing the Camellia oleifera anthracnose leaf image dataset. [Results and Discussions] A transfer learning approach was used for experimental validation on the Camellia oleifera anthracnose severity grading dataset, and the results of the ablation experiments showed that the mAP75 of Camellia-YOLACT proposed in this study was 86.8%, mAPall was 78.3%, mAR was 91.6% which were 5.7%, 2.5% and 7.9% higher than YOLACT model. In the comparison experiments, Camellia-YOLACT performed better than Segmenting Objects by Locations (SOLO) in terms of both accuracy and speed, and its detection speed was doubled compared to Mask R-CNN algorithm. Therefore, the Camellia-YOLACT algorithm was suitable in Camellia oleifera gardens for anthracnose real-time segmentation. In order to verify the outdoors detection performance of Camellia-YOLACT model, 36 groups of Camellia oleifera anthracnose grading experiments were conducted. Experimental results showed that the grading correctness of Camellia oleifera anthracnose injection severity reached 94.4%, and the average absolute error of K-value was 1.09%. Therefore, the Camellia-YOLACT model proposed in this study has a better performance on the grading of the severity of Camellia oleifera anthracnose. [Conclusions] The Camellia-YOLACT model proposed got high accuracy in leaf and anthracnose segmentation of Camellia oleifera, on the basis of which it can realize automatic grading of the severity of Camellia oleifera anthracnose. This research could provide technical support for the precise control of Camellia oleifera diseases.
[Objective] As a critical component of agricultural product supply chain management, cold chain logistics demand prediction encounters challenges such as inadequate feature extraction, high nonlinearity of data, and the propensity for algorithms to become trapped in local optima during the digital transformation process. To address these issues and enhance the accuracy of demand prediction, achieve intelligent management of the agricultural product supply chain, a combined forecasting model that integrates grey relational analysis (GRA), the wild horse optimizer (WHO), and temporal convolutional networks (TCN) is proposed in this research. [Methods] Firstly, a cold chain logistics indicator system was established for the data of Zhejiang province, China, spanning the years 2000 to 2020. This system covered four key aspects: the economic scale of agricultural products, logistics transportation, digital technology, and agricultural product supply. Then, the GRA was applied to identify relevant indicators of cold chain logistics for agricultural products in Zhejiang province, with 17 indicators selected that had a correlation degree higher than 0.75. Sliding window technology, a problem-solving approach for data structures and algorithms, suitable for reducing the time complexity of data to a better level and improving the execution efficiency of algorithms, was used to partition the selected indicators. Secondly, the TCN model was employed to extract features of different scales by stacking multiple convolutional layers. Each layer utilized different-sized convolutional kernels to capture features within different time ranges. By utilizing the dilated convolutional module of TCN, temporal and spatial relationships within economic data were effectively mined, considering the temporal characteristics of socio-economic data and logistics information in the agricultural supply chain, and exploring the temporal and spatial features of economic data. Simultaneously, the WHO algorithm was applied to optimize five hyperparameters of the TCN model, including the number of TCN layers, the number of filters, residual blocks, Dense layers, and neurons within the Dense layer. Finally, the optimized GRA-WHO-TCN model was used to extract and analyze features from highly nonlinear multidimensional economic data, ultimately facilitating the prediction of cold chain logistics demand. [Results and Discussions] For comparative analysis of the superiority of the GRA-WHO-TCN model, the 17 selected indicators were input into long short-term memory (LSTM), TCN, WHO-LSTM, and WHO-TCN models. The parameters optimized by the WHO algorithm for the TCN model were set respectively: 2 TCN layer was, 2 residual blocks, 1 dense layer, 60 filters, and 16 neurons in the dense layer. The optimized GRA-WHO-TCN temporal model can effectively extract the temporal and spatial features of multidimensional data, fully explore the implicit relationships among indicator factors, and demonstrating good fitting effects. Compared to GRA-LSTM and GRA-TCN models, the GRA-TCN model exhibited superior performance, with a lower root mean square error of 37.34 and a higher correlation coefficient of 0.91, indicating the advantage of the TCN temporal model in handling complex nonlinear data. Furthermore, the GRA-WHO-LSTM and GRA-WHO-TCN models optimized by the WHO algorithm had improved prediction accuracy and stability compared to GRA-LSTM and GRA-TCN models, illustrating that the WHO algorithm effectively optimized model parameters to enhance the effectiveness of model fitting. When compared to the GRA-WHO-LSTM model, the GRA-WHO-TCN model displayed a lower root mean square error of 11.3 and an effective correlation coefficient of 0.95, predicting cold chain logistics demand quantities in Zhejiang province for the years 2016-2020 as 29.8, 30.46, 24.87, 26.45, and 27.99 million tons, with relative errors within 0.6%, achieving a high level of prediction accuracy. This achievement showcases a high level of prediction accuracy and underscores the utility of the GRA-WHO-TCN model in forecasting complex data scenarios. [Conclusions] The proposed GRA-WHO-TCN model demonstrated superior parameter optimization capabilities and predictive accuracy compared to the GRA-LSTM and GRA-TCN models. The predicted results align well with the development of cold chain logistics of agricultural products in Zhejiang province. This provides a scientific prediction foundation and practical reference value for the development of material flow and information flow in the agricultural supply chain under the digital economy context.
