关键词: 农业信息化, 数字农业, 数字孪生, 大语言模型, 蔬菜生长

Abstract:

[Objective] In the era of digital agriculture, real-time monitoring and predictive modeling of crop growth are paramount, especially in autonomous farming systems. Traditional crop growth models, often constrained by their reliance on static, rule-based methods, fail to capture the dynamic and multifactorial nature of vegetable crop growth. This research tried to address these challenges by leveraging the advanced reasoning capabilities of pre-trained large language models (LLMs) to simulate and predict vegetable crop growth with accuracy and reliability. Modeling the growth of vegetable crops within these platforms has historically been hindered by the complex interactions among biotic and abiotic factors. [Methods] The methodology was structured in several distinct phases. Initially, a comprehensive dataset was curated to include extensive information on vegetable crop growth cycles, environmental conditions, and management practices. This dataset incorporates continuous data streams such as soil moisture, nutrient levels, climate variables, pest occurrence, and historical growth records. By combining these data sources, the study ensured that the model was well-equipped to understand and infer the complex interdependencies inherent in crop growth processes. Then, advanced techniques was emploied for pre-training and fine-tuning LLMs to adapt them to the domain-specific requirements of vegetable crop modeling. A staged intelligent agent ensemble was designed to work within the digital twin platform, consisting of a central managerial agent and multiple stage-specific agents. The managerial agent was responsible for identifying transitions between distinct growth stages of the crops, while the stage-specific agents were tailored to handle the unique characteristics of each growth phase. This modular architecture enhanced the model's adaptability and precision, ensuring that each phase of growth received specialized attention and analysis. [Results and Discussions] The experimental validation of this method was conducted in a controlled agricultural setting at the Xiaotangshan Modern Agricultural Demonstration Park in Beijing. Cabbage (Zhonggan 21) was selected as the test crop due to its significance in agricultural production and the availability of comprehensive historical growth data. Over five years, the dataset collected included 4 300 detailed records, documenting parameters such as plant height, leaf count, soil conditions, irrigation schedules, fertilization practices, and pest management interventions. This dataset was used to train the LLM-based system and evaluate its performance using ten-fold cross-validation. The results of the experiments demonstrating the efficacy of the proposed system in addressing the complexities of vegetable crop growth modeling. The LLM-based model achieved 98% accuracy in predicting crop growth degrees and a 99.7% accuracy in identifying growth stages. These metrics significantly outperform traditional machine learning approaches, including long short-term memory (LSTM), XGBoost, and LightGBM models. The superior performance of the LLM-based system highlights its ability to reason over heterogeneous data inputs and make precise predictions, setting a new benchmark for crop modeling technologies. Beyond accuracy, the LLM-powered system also excels in its ability to simulate growth trajectories over extended periods, enabling farmers and agricultural managers to anticipate potential challenges and make proactive decisions. For example, by integrating real-time sensor data with historical patterns, the system can predict how changes in irrigation or fertilization practices will impact crop health and yield. This predictive capability is invaluable for optimizing resource allocation and mitigating risks associated with climate variability and pest outbreaks. [Conclusions] The study emphasizes the importance of high-quality data in achieving reliable and generalizable models. The comprehensive dataset used in this research not only captures the nuances of cabbage growth but also provides a blueprint for extending the model to other crops. In conclusion, this research demonstrates the transformative potential of combining large language models with digital twin technology for vegetable crop growth modeling. By addressing the limitations of traditional modeling approaches and harnessing the advanced reasoning capabilities of LLMs, the proposed system sets a new standard for precision agriculture. Several avenues also are proposed for future work, including expanding the dataset, refining the model architecture, and developing multi-crop and multi-region capabilities.

Key words: agricultural informatics, digital agriculture, digital twin, large language model, vegetable growth